tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:28 RSW → 14:53 ORD
    UA 2494 · United · 3h 25m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:11 ORD → 18:54 BNA
    AA 3383 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 63% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 26mRSW 12:28 to BNA 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.