tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 12:28 RSW → 14:53 ORD
    UA 2494 · United · 3h 25m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 21:03 BUF
    UA 1335 · United · 1h 46m · 66% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 35mRSW 12:28 to BUF 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.