Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Albuquerque via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:42 IAD → 18:50 ORD
    UA 2497 · United · 2h 08m · 48% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ORD → 22:34 ABQ
    UA 3640 · United, flown by Republic · 3h 34m · 76% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 2 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 52mIAD 17:42 to ABQ 22:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.