tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:15 EWR → 20:10 ORD
    UA 254 · United · 2h 55m · 44% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:59 CMH
    UA 1492 · United · 1h 29m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 44mEWR 18:15 to CMH 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.