tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:15 EWR → 20:10 ORD
    UA 254 · United · 2h 55m · 44% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 ORD → 23:56 TVC
    UA 2071 · United · 1h 27m · 63% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 19 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 41mEWR 18:15 to TVC 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.