Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Houston → Louisville via Newark: arrives on time 23%
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14:49 IAH → 19:35 EWRUA 2608 · United · 3h 46m · 59% on time, 1.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:25 EWR → 22:50 SDFUA 3512 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 56% on time, 13.5% cancelled
Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (13.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 01mIAH 14:49 to SDF 22:50, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.