tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Washington via Newark: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:15 SRQ → 15:08 EWR
    UA 2612 · United · 2h 53m · 83% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 EWR → 19:48 DCA
    UA 4432 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 38m · 57% on time, 9.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (9.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 33mSRQ 12:15 to DCA 19:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.