Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Raleigh/Durham via San Francisco: arrives on time 19%

  1. 21:15 LAS → 22:57 SFO
    UA 2615 · United · 1h 42m · 23% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SFO → 08:21 RDU +1 day
    UA 1965 · United · 5h 22m · 77% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection25%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 75% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (25%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 06mLAS 21:15 to RDU 08:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.