tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:10 IAH → 09:05 ORD
    UA 2616 · United · 2h 55m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 ORD → 15:10 TVC
    UA 6033 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 63% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 00mIAH 06:10 to TVC 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.