tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:10 IAH → 09:05 ORD
    UA 2616 · United · 2h 55m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 ORD → 14:27 DSM
    UA 1781 · United · 1h 28m · 87% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 189 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 17mIAH 06:10 to DSM 14:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.