tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:10 IAH → 09:05 ORD
    UA 2616 · United · 2h 55m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:29 ORD → 14:14 BNA
    UA 3634 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 04mIAH 06:10 to BNA 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.