Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 56%
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13:28 PHX → 19:10 ORDUA 2628 · United · 3h 42m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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2h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:00 ORD → 23:12 MSNUA 630 · United · 1h 12m · 62% on time, 2.8% cancelled
Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 44mPHX 13:28 to MSN 23:12, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.