Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Orlando → Phoenix via Newark: arrives on time 43%
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16:04 MCO → 18:57 EWRUA 2629 · United · 2h 53m · 63% on time, 3.2% cancelled
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1h 27m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:24 EWR → 22:46 PHXUA 1814 · United · 5h 22m · 65% on time, 5.6% cancelled
Total trip 9h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 42mMCO 16:04 to PHX 22:46, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.