tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Phoenix via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:00 EWR → 10:00 SLC
    UA 2630 · United · 5h 00m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:41 SLC → 13:25 PHX
    F9 3871 · Frontier · 1h 46m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 27mEWR 07:00 to PHX 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.