Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Columbia via Chicago: arrives on time 52%
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11:20 LGA → 12:57 ORDUA 2635 · United · 2h 37m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled
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58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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13:55 ORD → 17:05 CAEUA 4523 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 10m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 45mLGA 11:20 to CAE 17:05, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.