tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 07:15 DCA → 08:28 ORD
    UA 2638 · United · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:52 ORD → 12:02 MSN
    AA 3437 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 10m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 47mDCA 07:15 to MSN 12:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.