tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:15 DCA → 08:28 ORD
    UA 2638 · United · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:56 ORD → 13:47 MEM
    AA 3675 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 51m · 84% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 32mDCA 07:15 to MEM 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.