tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:15 DCA → 08:28 ORD
    UA 2638 · United · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:11 ORD → 15:39 EWR
    UA 606 · United · 2h 28m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 178 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 24mDCA 07:15 to EWR 15:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.