tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Dayton via Dulles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:20 DFW → 11:26 IAD
    UA 2639 · United · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:44 IAD → 14:18 DAY
    UA 4241 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 34m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 58mDFW 07:20 to DAY 14:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.