tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → New York via Dulles: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:20 DFW → 11:26 IAD
    UA 2639 · United · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 IAD → 14:10 LGA
    UA 3698 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 68% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 50mDFW 07:20 to LGA 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.