tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 92%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 08:42 PHX
    UA 2646 · United · 5h 12m · 94% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:05 PHX → 15:18 SEA
    DL 2419 · Delta · 3h 13m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip11h 48mEWR 06:30 to SEA 15:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.