tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Spokane via San Francisco: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:20 SNA → 19:51 SFO
    UA 2657 · United · 1h 31m · 41% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 SFO → 23:04 GEG
    UA 5693 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 44mSNA 18:20 to GEG 23:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.