Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Phoenix via San Francisco: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:20 SNA → 19:51 SFO
    UA 2657 · United · 1h 31m · 41% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:21 SFO → 23:30 PHX
    UA 233 · United · 2h 09m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 10mSNA 18:20 to PHX 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.