tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Dulles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:39 LAX → 18:48 IAD
    UA 2667 · United · 5h 09m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:26 IAD → 23:59 BUF
    UA 3516 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 20mLAX 10:39 to BUF 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.