tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:45 EWR → 11:08 ATL
    UA 2669 · United · 2h 23m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:45 ATL → 16:14 RDU
    DL 1550 · Delta · 1h 29m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 29mEWR 08:45 to RDU 16:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.