Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Dulles: arrives on time 52%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:00 IAD
    UA 2677 · United · 1h 31m · 65% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 IAD → 23:54 TYS
    UA 4304 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 44m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 25mEWR 19:29 to TYS 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.