tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 89%

  1. 10:45 EWR → 13:41 LAX
    UA 2679 · United · 5h 56m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 LAX → 18:06 SMF
    UA 5858 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 21mEWR 10:45 to SMF 18:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.