tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Denver via Los Angeles: arrives on time 48%

  1. 10:45 EWR → 13:41 LAX
    UA 2679 · United · 5h 56m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 LAX → 18:00 DEN
    UA 2758 · United · 2h 30m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 15mEWR 10:45 to DEN 18:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.