Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Phoenix via San Francisco: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:45 LAX → 20:10 SFO
    UA 2681 · United · 1h 25m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:21 SFO → 23:30 PHX
    UA 233 · United · 2h 09m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 45mLAX 18:45 to PHX 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.