tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Raleigh/Durham via Houston: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:01 DFW → 17:18 IAH
    UA 2682 · United · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:08 IAH → 21:59 RDU
    UA 2498 · United · 2h 51m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 58mDFW 16:01 to RDU 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.