tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Newark via Houston: arrives on time 42%

  1. 16:01 DFW → 17:18 IAH
    UA 2682 · United · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:18 IAH → 23:00 EWR
    UA 404 · United · 3h 42m · 66% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 59mDFW 16:01 to EWR 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.