tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tulsa via Houston: arrives on time 52%

  1. 16:01 DFW → 17:18 IAH
    UA 2682 · United · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 IAH → 20:00 TUL
    UA 3991 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 40m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip3h 59mDFW 16:01 to TUL 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.