tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Nashville via Newark: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:22 MIA → 20:37 EWR
    UA 2691 · United · 3h 15m · 56% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 EWR → 23:02 BNA
    UA 1261 · United · 2h 34m · 71% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 40mMIA 17:22 to BNA 23:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.