tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Denver via Los Angeles: arrives on time 53%

  1. 09:15 EWR → 11:53 LAX
    UA 2692 · United · 5h 38m · 69% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 LAX → 16:16 DEN
    UA 360 · United · 2h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 01mEWR 09:15 to DEN 16:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.