tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sarasota/Bradenton via Miami: arrives on time 74%

  1. 16:50 IAH → 20:33 MIA
    UA 2740 · United · 2h 43m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:54 MIA → 23:59 SRQ
    AA 4071 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 05m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 09mIAH 16:50 to SRQ 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.