tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tulsa via Houston: arrives on time 49%

  1. 15:40 LAS → 20:55 IAH
    UA 2741 · United · 3h 15m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 IAH → 23:15 TUL
    UA 6179 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 33m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 35mLAS 15:40 to TUL 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.