tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 65%

  1. 09:30 FSD → 10:16 DEN
    UA 2742 · United · 1h 46m · 81% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 DEN → 17:05 ORD
    UA 617 · United · 2h 40m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 35mFSD 09:30 to ORD 17:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.