tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Las Vegas via Houston: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:15 MSY → 06:34 IAH
    UA 2744 · United · 1h 19m · 95% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:20 IAH → 08:35 LAS
    UA 1264 · United · 3h 15m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip5h 20mMSY 05:15 to LAS 08:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.