tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Chicago via Houston: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:15 MSY → 06:34 IAH
    UA 2744 · United · 1h 19m · 95% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:24 IAH → 10:20 ORD
    UA 2182 · United · 2h 56m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 05mMSY 05:15 to ORD 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.