Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Buffalo → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 27%
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18:04 BUF → 19:03 ORDUA 2747 · United · 1h 59m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:57 ORD → 21:41 MSPUA 2005 · United · 1h 44m · 58% on time, 4.0% cancelled
Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 37mBUF 18:04 to MSP 21:41, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.