tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:04 BUF → 19:03 ORD
    UA 2747 · United · 1h 59m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 35mBUF 18:04 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.