Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 43%

  1. 12:40 ORD → 14:20 MSP
    UA 2749 · United · 1h 40m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 MSP → 17:32 SFO
    UA 1367 · United · 4h 12m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 52mORD 12:40 to SFO 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.