tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Jackson via Newark: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:30 ORD → 16:55 EWR
    UA 2759 · United · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 EWR → 21:00 JAC
    UA 2612 · United · 5h 01m · 66% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 30mORD 13:30 to JAC 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.