tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Denver: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:12 ORD → 18:13 DEN
    UA 2769 · United · 3h 01m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 20:33 RAP
    UA 5303 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 21mORD 16:12 to RAP 20:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.