Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fairbanks via Denver: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:12 ORD → 18:13 DEN
    UA 2769 · United · 3h 01m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:24 DEN → 22:59 FAI
    UA 250 · United · 5h 35m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 47mORD 16:12 to FAI 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.