Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Francisco via Houston: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:54 EWR → 20:55 IAH
    UA 2782 · United · 4h 01m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 IAH → 00:05 SFO +1 day
    UA 1609 · United · 4h 06m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 11mEWR 17:54 to SFO 00:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.