tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Omaha via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:31 PHL → 14:55 ORD
    UA 2784 · United · 2h 24m · 76% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:47 ORD → 17:28 OMA
    UA 2207 · United · 1h 41m · 72% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 57mPHL 13:31 to OMA 17:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.