Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Columbia via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:45 EWR → 16:28 ORD
    UA 2788 · United · 2h 43m · 50% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ORD → 21:16 CAE
    UA 4478 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 21m · 73% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 31mEWR 14:45 to CAE 21:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.