tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:45 EWR → 16:28 ORD
    UA 2788 · United · 2h 43m · 50% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 21:03 BUF
    UA 1335 · United · 1h 46m · 66% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 18mEWR 14:45 to BUF 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.