Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Newark → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 34%
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14:45 EWR → 16:28 ORDUA 2788 · United · 2h 43m · 50% on time, 4.2% cancelled
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1h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:00 ORD → 21:10 DCAUA 1369 · United · 2h 10m · 50% on time, 3.2% cancelled
Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 25mEWR 14:45 to DCA 21:10, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.